Part I Association between Nighttime Heart Rate and Cardiovascular Mortality in Patients with Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator
Background: Elevated resting heart rate is associated with adverse outcomes in various cardiovascular diseases. Relative to resting heart rate, nighttime heart rate (NTHR) is able to better reflect cardiac autonomic function due to less influence from sensory input, physical activity, and mental-emotional factors. Nonetheless, the prognostic value of NTHR for prognosis remains unclear. This study aimed to examine the association between cardiovascular mortality and an individual's own NTHR to offer insights for the personalized patient management.
Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on data from the SUMMIT registry study. Patients who were diagnosed with atrial tachycardia or atrial flutter or atrial fibrillation before admission (confirmed with surface ECG or Holter monitoring) and exhibited ectopic heartbeats during the detection window were excluded. This exclusion encompassed patients with atrial arrhythmia, ventricular pacing in single-chamber ICD patients, or atrial pacing in double-chamber ICD/ CRT-D patients. NTHR was measured from 2 AM to 6 AM daily within a 30-60 days window post-device implantation, and the daily average NTHR was calculated. The primary outcome was cardiovascular disease mortality. Restricted cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting were used to explore the dose-response relationship between cardiovascular disease mortality with NTHR, and determine the risk threshold. Furthermore, subgroup analyses were conducted based on the presence of heart failure (HF) or beta-blocker usage to explore potential interactions.
Results: A total of 534 patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillator were included, with a mean age of 60.0 ± 14.1 years and a mean NTHR of 59.6 ± 8.0 bpm. Over an average follow-up period of 60.4 ± 21.8 months, 88 cardiovascular disease mortality events occurred. Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a linear association between cardiovascular disease mortality risk and NTHR. For every 1 bpm increase in NTHR, the entire study population had a 7.8% increased risk of cardiovascular disease mortality. In patients with or without HF, for every 1 bpm increase in NTHR, the risk of death from cardiovascular disease increased by 10.1% and 5.7%, respectively. No significant difference was found in the predictive value of NTHR on the risk of death from cardiovascular disease between patients on beta-blockers and those who did not.
Conclusion: There is a linear correlation between cardiovascular disease mortality and an individual's own NTHR, particularly in patients with HF. Continuous monitoring of NTHR can aid in timely identification of high-risk patients for cardiovascular disease mortality.
Part II Cardiovascular Benefits of Moderate Physical Activity: Potential Mechanisms for Physiological Benefits
Background: Individuals with insufficient physical activity (PA) and elevated nighttime heart rate (NTHR) are at a higher risk of cardiovascular disease mortality. However, it remains unclear whether the association between insufficient PA, elevated NTHR, and increased cardiovascular disease mortality risk is solely influenced by individual physical conditions or if a causal relationship exists. This study aims to assess the association between cardiovascular disease mortality and PA as well as NTHR, exploring the potential mechanisms through which PA promotes cardiovascular health.
Methods: Retrospective analysis of patient data from the SUMMIT study. Patients who were diagnosed with atrial tachycardia or atrial flutter or atrial fibrillation before admission (confirmed with surface ECG or Holter monitoring) and exhibited ectopic heartbeats during the detection window were excluded. This exclusion encompassed patients with atrial arrhythmia, ventricular pacing in single-chamber ICD patients, or atrial pacing in double-chamber ICD/ CRT-D patients. The subjects' daily PA was automatically collected by an acceleration sensor built into the cardiovascular implantable electronic device. Daily PA was automatically measured using an accelerometer embedded in the cardiovascular implanted electronic device. The measurement window for PA and NTHR was set at 30-60 days post-device implantation, and the daily averages were calculated. An individual was deemed to be in a PA state when their acceleration exceeded 0.473m/s2 (≈3km/h walking speed). The daily PA was quantified by dividing the time spend in a PA state by 24 hours. NTHR was measured from 2 am to 6 am daily. The study outcome was cardiovascular disease mortality. Restricted cubic spline and smooth fitting curves were employed to probe the dose-response relationship between cardiovascular disease mortality and PA, and to determine the risk threshold. The association between NTHR and PA was preliminarily explored using box plots and scatter plots. Then potential confounding factors were adjusted with a multiple linear regression model. A causal mediation model was constructed to investigate the potential role of NTHR in the impact of PA on cardiovascular disease mortality. Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted based on the presence of heart failure (HF) and the beta-blockers usage to explore possible interactions.
Results: A total of 534 patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillator were included, with a mean age of 60.0 ± 14.1 years. The average daily PA duration was 11.0% ± 5.9%, and the average NTHR was 59.6 ± 8.0 bpm. During a follow-up period of 60.4 ± 21.8 months, 88 cases of cardiovascular disease mortality occurred. Multiple linear regression analysis revealed a negative linear relationship between individual NTHR and PA (β=-0.234, 95% CI: -0.358--0.111, P<0.001). Restricted cubic spline analysis indicated a nonlinear relationship (Pnon-linear=0.031) between cardiovascular disease mortality risk and PA, with a saturation effect observed as the duration of daily PA increased. When the duration of daily PA exceeded 3.36 hours (=14%), the decline rate in cardiovascular disease mortality risk decelerated. Mediation analysis revealed that 11.6% of the reduction in cardiovascular disease mortality risk associated with moderate PA was mediated through NTHR (mediation effect percentage=11.6%, 95% CI: 4.4%-22.4%, P<0.001). Sensitivity analysis showed a similar saturation effect in the reduction of cardiovascular disease mortality risk among patients without HF. In contrast, patients with HF exhibited a linear relationship without a saturation effect in the reduction of cardiovascular mortality risk with increasing PA duration. Additionally, the proportion of the impact of PA on cardiovascular disease mortality mediated through NTHR was higher in patients with HF (mediation effect percentage: 18.3%, 95% CI: 2.6%-43.0%, P=0.028 vs. 6.1%, 95% CI: 1.2%-16.5%, P=0.035). Furthermore, although the mediation effect percentage of the impact of PA on cardiovascular disease mortality through NTHR was reduced in patients using beta-blockers compared to those not using beta-blockers, it was not completely blocked (mediation effect percentage: 16.5%, 95% CI: 5.9%-43.1%, P=0.004 vs. 13.2%, 95% CI: 4.8%-30.7%, P=0.004).
Conclusion: Insufficient PA marks individuals at high risk of cardiovascular disease mortality, while moderate PA can mitigate the risk of cardiovascular disease mortality by influencing the individual's own NTHR. The improvement in cardiac autonomic function, manifested by the reduction in NTHR, may be one of the potential mechanisms through which moderate PA confers cardiovascular benefits. Given the established benefits of PA-based cardiac rehabilitation in enhancing cardiac function and long-term prognosis, further research is warranted to ascertain the potential advantages of PA intervention strategies guided by device-measured PA.
Part III The prognostic characteristics analysis of patients with atrial high-rate episode
Background: Patients with atrial high-rate episode (AHRE) are at a higher risk of thromboembolism. However, data on the long-term prognosis of AHRE patients are limited and controversial. This study aims to investigate the prognostic characteristics of patients with AHRE detected by cardiovascular implanted electronic devices.
Methods: Patients in SUMMIT registry study with a history of atrial tachycardia, atrial flutter, or atrial fibrillation were excluded. AHRE was defined as atrial arrhythmia with atrial rate greater than 180 bpm and a duration ≥ 15 minutes. Additionally, AHRE patients were divided into three groups based on the longest duration of AHRE: low burden group (15 minutes to 6 hours), moderate burden group (6 hours to 24 hours), and high burden group (≥24 hours). The primary outcome was cardiovascular mortality, and the secondary outcome was all-cause mortality. The relationship between AHRE and cardiovascular disease mortality as well as all-cause mortality was evaluated using the Fine/Gray proportional hazards model and Cox proportional hazards model, respectively.
Results: A total of 343 patients with ICD or CRT-D were included in the analysis, with a mean age of 62.5 ± 13.5 years. Over a mean follow-up period of 50.3 ± 17.8 months, AHRE was identified in 124 out of 343 patients (36.2%). Of the total 87 deaths, 61 were attributed to cardiovascular etiologies. Among the 124 AHRE patients, 44 deaths occurred (35.5%), significantly higher than those without AHRE (43/219, 19.6%, P=0.001). After adjusting for potential confounding factors, AHRE patients exhibited a significantly elevated risk of cardiovascular disease mortality (HR: 2.40, 95% CI: 1.23-4.67, P=0.010) and all-cause mortality (HR: 2.31, 95% CI: 1.49-3.59, P<0.001) in contrast to patients without AHRE. Further analysis revealed that this association remained significant in patients with a moderate or higher burden (≥6 hours), but not in patients with a low burden (15 minutes to 6 hours). Noteworthy, even after excluding patients diagnosed with clinical atrial fibrillation during the follow-up, the remaining AHRE patients still exhibited a higher risk of cardiovascular disease mortality (HR: 3.43, 95% CI: 1.50-7.82, P=0.004) and all-cause mortality (HR: 2.18, 95% CI: 1.34-3.55, P=0.002) compared to patients without AHRE.
Conclusion: AHRE is prevalent among patients receiving ICD or CRT-D therapy without a history of atrial tachycardia, atrial flutter, or atrial fibrillation, and is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease mortality and all-cause mortality.